Primary May 19 · Runoff June 16 · General Nov 3 · Open seat (Kemp term-limited)
Latest: Jones 21% · Jackson 20% · 38% undecided (Emerson, Mar 2026). Jackson spent $30M+. Trump endorsed Jones. Bottoms leads D primary at 32–40%; Esteves surged to 2nd (14%). Both primaries headed to runoff.
Kwanza Index Verdict
Georgia Senate 2026
Ossoff (D) defending · General Nov 3 · Almanac: Toss-up → Lean D
Latest: Ossoff leads all R challengers by 8–16pts (Emerson). $25.5M cash on hand. R primary between Collins, Carter, Dooley — Kemp backs Dooley.
Kwanza Index Verdict
Nevada Governor 2026
Ford (D) vs Lombardo (R incumbent) · Primary Jun 9 · General Nov 3
Latest: Noble (Mar 2026): Lombardo 39%, Ford 38% — statistical dead heat. Emerson: 41–41. Ford leads Latinos +24pp, women +6pp. Top 5 most competitive race nationally. Would be Nevada's first Black governor.
Kwanza Index Verdict
Kansas Senate 2026
Murray (D) vs Marshall (R) · D Primary Aug 4 · General Nov 3
Latest: Erik Murray (KC developer) in crowded D primary. Anti-tariff, rural hospital message resonating. Marshall won 2020 by +11.4pts. No D senator from KS since 1932. Anti-Trump wave environment creates structural opening.
Kwanza Index Verdict
Kwanza Index Verdict
Kwanza Index Verdict
Kwanza Index Verdict
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